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- đź“© The 2-minute rule and the future of real engagement
đź“© The 2-minute rule and the future of real engagement
Why most “opens” and “clicks” in your ESP are lying to you, and what to track instead
Most email programs do not have an engagement problem. They have a measurement problem.
Open and click rates can look healthy while replies, sales, and real reader behavior tell a different story.
If an open or click occurs within the first 2 minutes after delivery, it is probably not a human.
Not a reader. Not a fan. Not someone who actually read what you wrote.
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Usually, it is a bot, a link scanner, or a security layer sweeping every URL the moment an email lands. Those fake signals inflate your metrics and convince you your list is thriving when it is quietly rotting.
In one analysis, segments showed “perfect” click-through rates. Every link lit up. The activity came from security gateways and automated scanners, hitting everything the second a campaign arrived.
The engagement metrics you trust are getting noisier
Look at what email platforms have rolled out lately: labels for “human” or “verified” opens and clicks, bot and link scanning filters, and features that flag non-human traffic. These changes are an admission. At meaningful volume, a big share of “engagement” is not human.
If you keep optimizing your list, segments, and automations around polluted numbers, you end up steering your entire business with fake data.
The 2-minute rule: how to define real engagement
Here is the rule that should sit underneath everything you do:
If a subscriber opens or clicks within 2 minutes of delivery, it does not count as human engagement.
Real people do not behave like security software. They open on their own schedule, tap one or two links, then move on. Bots and security systems slam every link at machine speed, in the same patterns, at all hours.
In some segments, total clickers even outnumbered total openers. That is impossible for humans, but normal for automated link scanners that fire without ever loading a tracking pixel.
What changes when you strip out non-human engagement
Once you apply the 2-minute rule and remove clearly bot-driven events, a familiar pattern shows up.
Your list is less engaged than you thought. The numbers drop, sometimes sharply, but that honesty protects your domain. You finally see how many people actually read and act.
You also notice ghost engagement. “Clickers” who never clicked. “Openers” who never opened. Those ghosts convince you to keep emailing cold segments, which slowly crushes your Gmail reputation.
At the same time, your best subscribers finally stand out. With the noise gone, loyal readers are obvious. They open in believable patterns, click at normal speeds, reply, buy, and share.
Deliverability follows. When you stop rewarding bot-heavy segments with more volume, mailbox providers ease up. Domain reputation recovers more quickly because you are no longer hammering inboxes that never contained a human.
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Why “strong” metrics can hide a weakening business
A bot can open every email, click every link, inflate your averages, and trigger any automation that assumes “high intent.”
It will never buy a product, tell a friend about your newsletter, or become a paying customer or sponsor.
Meanwhile, fake engagement damages what you actually need: consistent inbox placement. You keep sending more emails to the wrong “engaged” addresses that are mostly scanners. Your reputation drops. Real subscribers see you less often. Revenue stalls, even while your reports still look fine.
The future belongs to the human-only signal
Serious publishers will measure engagement on human-only signals.
Advertisers are starting to demand it. Mailbox providers practically require it if you want to keep landing in the inbox at scale.
If you care about better inbox placement, more engaged readers, stronger revenue per send, and healthier list growth, you need to know exactly who your real readers are.
Not bots. Not scanners. Not fake clickers that light up every campaign.
The 2-minute rule is simple. It is also the start of a move toward cleaner signal data, smarter segmentation, and a more durable, more profitable newsletter business.
If you want help finding the real engagement hiding inside your list, or cleaning up the fake engagement that is hurting you today, just reply to this email.
Only humans should reply.
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